Severe Weather Outlook - Days 4-8


Days 4 - 8 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Day 8
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D4 Tuesday, April 14, 2026 - Wednesday, April 15, 2026 D7 Friday, April 17, 2026 - Saturday, April 18, 2026
D5 Wednesday, April 15, 2026 - Thursday, April 16, 2026 D8 Saturday, April 18, 2026 - Sunday, April 19, 2026
D6 Thursday, April 16, 2026 - Friday, April 17, 2026 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)

Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
 
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
 
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).