Severe Weather Outlook - Days 4-8



Days 4 - 8 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Day 8
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D4 Wednesday, October 23, 2019 - Thursday, October 24, 2019 D7 Saturday, October 26, 2019 - Sunday, October 27, 2019
D5 Thursday, October 24, 2019 - Friday, October 25, 2019 D8 Sunday, October 27, 2019 - Monday, October 28, 2019
D6 Friday, October 25, 2019 - Saturday, October 26, 2019 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)

Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
 
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
 
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).